2019-20 Contender or Pretender Pod
Posted: October 29th, 2024, 11:24 pm
Bringing back an old favorite. Matt, Derek, Quady and I discuss recent trades, and who's for real and who's cornmeal as they say.
definitely takes two to tangoSoNicks wrote: October 30th, 2024, 7:49 am Definitely have been trying to trade. It’s a pretty tough market both for players who I need and for buyers.
People who want PGs don’t have a wing or big like I need. also contracts are kinda all over the place rn. Building around a 25mm player is tough
That edit better Senor Quady-ludes?quady wrote: October 30th, 2024, 10:23 amdefinitely takes two to tangoSoNicks wrote: October 30th, 2024, 7:49 am Definitely have been trying to trade. It’s a pretty tough market both for players who I need and for buyers.
People who want PGs don’t have a wing or big like I need. also contracts are kinda all over the place rn. Building around a 25mm player is tough
Also I’m cheap AF
just finished listening to this one. @Tyler to answer your question on what I'm aiming for in switching DCs every sim (standard disclaimers that this is just my approach, I'm not an expert, etc):
- My goals by the end of the season, in order, are: 1/ to get into the playoffs, 2/ to have enough data to feel confident taking one series off anyone, and 3/ getting a high seed.
- I switch up my DC to get a good understanding of downside variance and upside variance for player x position x setting (trap, press, etc) x matchup combinations. I just dump every box score into my analysis spreadsheet and it cascades out automatically. https://www.simleaguenirvana.com/viewtopic.php?t=1902
- I feel comfortable with a particular player x player matchup after 4 games and a player in a certain position (independent of matchup) after 10 games. So I'll look at the upcoming games, particularly which teams I'm likely to play in the playoffs, see what data I have already (from this season and past seasons), then set the DC.
- Ceteris paribus, I'd rather have more data than one additional home game (unless I have enough data from past seasons to feel good about the different combinations I could run in the series). Obviously sometimes this doesn't work in my favor, - e.g. I'm pretty sure I would have gotten out of the first round last season If I had home court advantage.
So, for example on the above - through the 16-17 regular season I had a good sense that every increased notch in press drops Jrue's PPP by ~0.05 but also suppresses opposing guard volume by a certain amount. So after Jerebko went off in the first sim of the finals as backup PG I increased press and that seemed to solve it.
Hope that answers it!